Cleavages, Images, Partisanship or Negative Partisanship? Mexican Voting Behavior in Comparative Perspective (2012-2021)

Voting is one of the most relevant forms of political participation in contemporary democracies. The aim of this paper is to analyze the trends in Mexican electoral behavior from 2012 to 2021, with particular emphasis on assessing the weight of short-term factors that influence voting against long-t...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Díaz Jiménez, Oniel Francisco, Alva-Rivera, Miguel Eduardo, Téllez Domínguez, Edwing
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:México
Recursos:UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL AUTÓNOMA DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Revista Mexicana de Opinión Pública
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/88148
Acesso em linha:https://revistas.unam.mx/index.php/rmop/article/view/88148
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Voting behavior
Partisanship
Negative partisanship
Cleavages
Candidate image
Comportamiento electoral
Partidismo
Partidismo negativo
Clivajes
Imagen de los candidatos
Descrição
Resumo:Voting is one of the most relevant forms of political participation in contemporary democracies. The aim of this paper is to analyze the trends in Mexican electoral behavior from 2012 to 2021, with particular emphasis on assessing the weight of short-term factors that influence voting against long-term variables such as ideology and partisanship. Based on logistic regression models, it shows how electoral behavior in the 2018 and 2021 elections has been increasingly significantly influenced by short-term variables, such as images of candidates and opinions on a number of (performance and positional) issues. Likewise, it shows a decline of the impact of long-term factors, particularly of demographic and socioeconomic factors, that can be seen as explanatory.